The five steps, in order, with the example of a commercial cleaning service in the Laurentians filled in for each box. Fill it in on screen, then print it or save it as a PDF from your browser. Nothing is sent anywhere, nothing is stored and there is no form on this page.
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01Define the market and put a number on it
Start with the number, before the questionnaire. If the calculation does not support your project, the other four steps serve no purpose.
What I sell, in one sentenceExample: Commercial cleaning, recurring contracts.
To whom, preciselyExample: Shops and offices with 5 employees or more.
In which territoryExample: The Laurentians, within a 30-minute drive of Saint-Sauveur.
Number of potential buyers in this territoryExample: 2,100 establishments. Source: Statistics Canada, Business Register.
Average annual spend per buyerExample: $6,200. Source: three quotes from competitors.
Total market (buyers × spend)Example: $13,020,000
Share of the territory actually servedExample: 38%, counted on a map.
Available marketExample: $4,947,600
Share targeted in three years, and why this figureExample: 2%. New entrant with no price advantage.
Potential revenue in year 3Example: $98,952
02Find the data
Open these sources in this order. For each one, note the date of the figure you found: a 2019 report describes a world that no longer exists.
Statistics Canada: what I found there and the date of the figureExample: Number of establishments by size, 2025 data.
Institut de la statistique du QuébecExample: Population projections for the regional county municipality (MRC), 2024 to 2041.
Registraire des entreprises du Québec: my competitors and their sizeExample: 4 registered competitors, from 2 to 24 declared employees.
BAnQ databases: financial ratios for the sectorExample: Average net margin for the sector: 8%.
Industry association: annual profileExample: 2025 profile, sector growth of 3% a year.
Monthly search volume for my commercial queriesExample: 310 searches a month across all queries.
Five-year trend (Google Trends)Example: Stable, slight increase since 2024.
03Analyze the demand
Plan for twelve interviews per segment. Note three answers above all: what the problem cost the person in money and time (the ceiling of your price), what disappointed them most (your position in the market) and the prices they would find too expensive or suspiciously low.
Distinct customer segments and how many interviews per segmentExample: 2 segments: offices and retail shops. 12 interviews each.
Interviews completed to date
What people do today in the absence of my offerExample: An in-house employee, or nothing at all.
What they pay for this substituteExample: From $4,000 to $9,000 a year.
The price above which they find it too expensiveExample: $7,500 a year.
What disappointed them most about their current supplierExample: Staff turnover, nobody knows the premises.
Who decides and who else has a sayExample: The owner, with the assistant's opinion.
Real-demand test carried out and its resultExample: Page + $400 in advertising, 2 weeks: 9 inquiries, $44 per inquiry.
04Analyze the supply
There are three categories of competitors, and do not forget the third: doing nothing, or doing it yourself, often takes more share than all the others.
Direct competitors, with year of registration and sizeExample: 4 companies, from 2 to 24 employees.
Indirect competitorsExample: Staffing agencies.
The “do nothing” or “do it yourself” substituteExample: About half of the targeted establishments.
Prices posted or obtained by quoteExample: From $4,200 to $9,800 a year.
What three-star reviews criticize most oftenExample: Uneven quality from one week to the next.
What their job postings revealExample: Two competitors are hiring, one has posted nothing since 2024.
The place I can take, in one sentenceExample: The same team every week, named in the contract.
05Analyze the environment and conclude
Four factors to check, one hour each. Then the four numbers that make the conclusion. If one of them is only a hunch, the study is not finished.
Permits, certifications or insurance required, and their costExample: RBQ licence not required. Liability insurance: $1,900 a year.
Language and data protection obligationsExample: Website in French. A consent banner to plan for.
Barriers to entryExample: Low: $12,000 in equipment.
Dependence on a single client or supplierExample: None with more than 15 contracts.
Sensitivity to the economic cycleExample: Medium: first budget line cut in a recession.
Potential revenue at three yearsExample: $98,952
Investment required, including the months with no revenueExample: $46,000 over 14 months.
Cost of acquiring a client, measuredExample: $44 per inquiry, 1 sale in 5: $220 per sale.
Time to break-evenExample: 16 months.
06The walk-away thresholds, written before the results
Fill in this section first, before you have collected anything, and date it. It is the only protection against the urge to reinterpret the results once they are in. A study that cannot conclude “no” is not a study, it is a justification.
Below $_______ of available market, we do not go ahead.
If fewer than half of the people interviewed already pay for a substitute, the demand is not ripe.
If the ceiling price named in interviews is below our cost price, we stop.
If the measured acquisition cost exceeds the margin on the first sale, we need another channel or another price.
If break-even is more than _______ months away, the answer is no today, not never.
Date on which these thresholds were written
07The conclusion, on one page
Four numbers and one decision. If one of the four is only a hunch, go back to the corresponding step.
Potential revenue at three years
Investment required
Cost of acquiring a client
Time to break-even
The decision and the reason, in one sentence
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